Do NOT make a post asking for advice, that belongs as a comment in the "Daily advice thread". Keep discussions civil, informative and polite. Off topic comments, attacks or insults will not be tolerated. Strictly no promotional threads. Do not post your app, tool, blog, event, etc. A hedge fund analyst explains his stock research process. Full of excellent links to videos, articles, and books. Sheldon Natenberg's "Option Volatility and pricing" self. I have started reading Sheldon Natenberg's "Option Volatility and pricing" and am totally hooked on it.

I find the theory to be very interesting. I would be very interested in knowing anybody's experience on reading and applying the principles in the book practically. I have recently done a naked put on a stock and this led me to being interested in the idea of option writing as providing insurance to others.

I learnt about the book from tastytrade. I have previously invested in stocks. I love the bollinger bands and hope to combine my knowledge of computer programming to better manage my equity investments. Hey I just started reading the same book, I am pretty new to investing and am trying to get a better grasp on options, they still kinda confuse me. So far its been really informative but can be a little confusing at times especially if your new. Right now I am trying to apply the same principle with long term trades to see how that goes.

You have to keep in mind that Natenberg was writing at the time for market makers on options, and possibly prop desks.

If you're trading volatility, you get flat deltas at the end of the day, because you're not paid to take directional risk. The problem is most individual investors don't have the kind of size or leverage necessary to make it worthwhile to flatten out, so there's a bunch of stuff that doesn't necessarily apply. It's especially true if you're long gamma you bought options - you really need to scalp well to make money, and that's very much an art IMO.

I knew some guys who could scalp like Gods, and then there were schmucks like me We seem to be in the same boat.

sheldon natenberg option volatility and pricing free download

I am still on volatility spreads. It sure is very risky. I agree that delta movements are way bigger than movements compared to movements due to theta and vega changes.

A useful way to think about this is to evaluate each risk characteristic as a component of the total risk. Incidentally, delta is also the easiest and cheapest component to hedge, so marketmarkers do that almost immediately. I understand what you said, But I always get tempted by the idea having a positive delta will give bigger profits.

So I should try to find the correct direction of movement and everything will be fine. But you want to maintain your delta neutral. This surely wasn't my first thought. I would love to learn why would you do that.

The trick is that having delta will only give you bigger profits if you know which way the stock is going to go. Unless you think that the curvature to the payout that you get from the option position is going to be a winner in addition to the delta, you should PROBABLY be only trading delta. An example of what I meant was something like me having a call option for a certain date and depending on if the market was rallying or slow it would make a difference in the odds of being right with your price.

Also what mostly confuses me aren't options themselves but the format of purchasing them. I use questrade and haven't traded any real options yet but I feel like I am not sure where to start. If i hit the strike price does it automatically sell and I make the gains?

Other things I wonder about are things like, sure, I could plug in some numbers to figure how much this stock has been moving upward for the last few months, I can also come up with an estimate about how much it'll move up within the next few months in the future.

But how can I be sure? Other than that I really feel like options are a complex part of trading I would really like to understand before trying. What i mean is. Any real professional brokerage will treat the option as an independent asset that will get held indefinitely.

It will only be exercised automatically for you on expiration it used to not even get exercised automatically for you then! Ah, the million dollar question. Certainty is hard to come by. People think about their models differently. Personally, I think of them all as a series of bets where I'm just trying to get some positive expected value, no matter how small -- do that enough times, if you're right you'll come out a winner.

They're definitely complex, but there are simplifying approaches that you can take to understand them better. I'd recommend trying paper trading them just to see if they behave as you expect, then if they don't, try to figure out why they deviated from your expected behavior. I've been on other forums where Natenberg's book has received lots of praise from legite traders which why I bought it. It's a good introduction and the strategies he provides you will probably come across in any introductory book on options trading so there's nothing novel in his strategies.

What I think he misses on is explaining how to predict the direction and magnitude of volatility. Obviously that's a simplistic assumption that isn't supported by actual data, but its the model that traditional options pricing models assumed black scholes, cox ross rubenstein. Additionally, if you think of volatility as process over which you have no predictive capacity, its an easy simplifying assumption.

Are you looking for something more technical? I do like Volatility Trading by Sinclair, but it seems very much focused on an institutional side of trading. A lot of the stuff they cover is much more applicable to people with large options books. If you're just starting, check out Mark Wolfinger's Options for Rookies - its geared towards the self-directed investor, and provides a really good overview of the things that matter to someone who primarily invests in stocks. Forgot to mention McMillan on options, which is also pretty useful, though it may be unnecessary if you fully grokked Natenberg.

I guess taleb and natenberg are the favs. I do want a book for the individual trader with a small money bank. But I guess natenberg will do for now. If you're an individual trader with a small bank, then I really strongly recommend Wolfinger's Options for Rookies. I was a professional options trader, I know Natenberg and he taught me options in a classroom setting.

Natenberg's book is still considered the introductory textbook for professional options floor traders. I think most serious options traders will tell you that the text is dry and dense though.

I find it hard to read: As a reference text that will give you a strong underlying basis for options and start you on the path to understanding why and how they behave as they do, Hull is second to none: Taleb's Dynamic Hedging has already been commented on in this thread -- I think its Taleb's best work, but others seem to disagree.

I wrote most of it on a plane from Europe to the US and never really edited it or worked on it further, but I'd like to polish it eventually. You met him personally!! Hope he was a good teacher too. I looked at hull and it is one big book covering a large number of topics which I might not be interested in. But I will try reading the options part from the book after I get through natenberg. I actually find it easy to read, as the doubts are clarified in great detail. He seems to be very careful in not misleading the reader with high hopes.

And yes, I will read your book too. For now I went through over the top and here are a few points:. Basically, every single timestep every second, every hour, etc is an opportunity to consider whether or not to hold the option. Basically, you should have an internal valuation for what that option is worth. The marketplace will independently tell you what the market consensus value is.

That difference is how much you expect to capture, in expectation. However, given the non-deterministic price path, there will be volatility risk for holding your position.

At every time step, if you can reduce your risk or increase your edge, you do so. Most options don't make it to expiration. One way to sort of visualize this is to draw a binomial tree look up Cox-Ross-Rubenstein.

Think of every node as a possible future situation so it will be a triangular grid of future [price, time to expiration] combinations.

At each of these, there's also a range of prices at which you'd want to buy the option, sell the option, or do nothing. I also liked that you want to focus on what happens in the real world, rather than sticking to the theory. My general thesis is that options are tricky mostly because people don't understand HOW options derive value. There are a few ways to think about option pricing, but really internalizing one of them will give you a mental model for "turning the dials" on the inputs price, vol, time, rates, strike and understanding what that does to option price.

For practical trading, its more important to understand how these drivers qualitatively affect price, rather than getting into specific equations or proofs. It would be nice if you could expand more on individual ideas. How about a blog first and then bring out a book with the feedback from the blog? Yes, ultimately I'd like to do something like this.

I pretty much wrote that whole thing in about 12 hours -- so it was easy to do that in a single time block, but maintaining a blog probably requires more bandwidth than I have now. I was thinking it might be interesting to do a series of posts in http: I actually didn't even remember that I included any python stuff in there. I do like python a lot. It's terse, easy to read, pretty clear, and also has great third party libraries for data analysis, even some libraries built specifically around time series analysis for finance wes mckinneys pandas, for example; also continuum guys are doing cool stuff, numba, bokeh, shared online ipython notepads.

Another advantage is that its increasingly being used in professional finance for exploratory analysis. I've did a good bit of academic research before I jumped into the options market as a supplement to stock investing , but no I haven't read that particular book.

I would love to know what books you read or how did you develop your skills as an options trader.

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Sinclair - I can't comment on but I couldn't get on with Dynamic Hedging. The writing style is confusing unless you are a market practitioner and if you are - you wouldn't touch it with a barge pole. If you feel like wearing an eye patch, there is a certain Russian site with a Biblical name where you can snag a copy.

sheldon natenberg option volatility and pricing free download

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This is an archived post. You won't be able to vote or comment. If people know any other books on similar topics, it would be nice to know about them. Basically, the real reasons for trading options shuold be either: Its not everyday you find someone who genuinely wants to help you, thanks, much appreciated.

He seems to be very careful in not misleading the reader with high hopes And yes, I will read your book too. For now I went through over the top and here are a few points: I liked that you talked about the option value at 60 days before expiry, as I feel most option traders wouldn't wait till expiration. I like the points that you have bought forward.

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I have to dig through natenberg to get to them. But I would also like them to be described in more detail. I would be very interested in knowing what is the thought process, the tools used, the inputs that go into your head before going through a trade, from the view of an options trader. More code samples will be welcome in the book. I feel most option traders wouldn't wait till expiration.

I can't find it anywhere. Posts are automatically archived after 6 months.

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